Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c461d34380ba87abdde45d1c18544ae62bd4015ea3713fff2f9dc3424e6b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.52 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 2,586$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 2,076$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 2,023$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,071$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 49c | 628.92$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 554.74$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 554.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 40c | 444.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 311$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 209.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 53c | 209.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 200.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 54c | 196.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 190.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 55c | 188.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 52c | 186.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 55c | 184.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 54c | 179.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 55c | 168.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 163.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 76c | 146.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 55c | 140.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…408ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 91.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 55c | 90.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 77.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 72.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 69.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 43c | 69.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 44c | 60.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 51c | 56.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 52c | 52.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…1447backed No | 20c | 48.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…f880backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 45.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 38c | 39.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 43c | 36.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 53c | 28.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 46c | 26.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 39c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 54c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 52c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 53c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 54c | 20.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.