TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No25c7,309$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.733,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c6,334$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.441,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes64c6,090$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes65c5,568$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.0253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No41c3,455$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.12650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No18c2,563$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.641,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c2,487$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.6623643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No42c2,434$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1927837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No22c1,996$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes79c1,975$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.713100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes74c1,501$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c1,404$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes80c1,235$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No17c1,222$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.74147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-81.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed No8c1,167$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+201.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No36c1,165$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.32250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes62c1,158$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.7525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No18c1,100$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.455326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f8…ca8fbacked Yes59c1,086$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No36c980.5$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1811854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes60c831.04$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No42c755.22$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes68c666.91$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2441339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked No45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Yes79c624.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No35c444.44$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes78c406.71$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes56c394.31$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No20c387.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c368.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.241,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…bf2dbacked No40c349.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Yes80c331.46$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Yes59c327.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes67c303.93$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No38c274.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1620535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes61c270.89$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.654242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes80c247.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1412751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No19c246.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.569555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No34c243$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes61c240.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.663432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes63c234.81$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.887949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes61c234.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.412955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c231.15$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5210853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2708…a502backed Yes61c225.58$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes62c220.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.85850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…b508backed Yes78c211.28$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c209.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No37c204.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.639858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c202.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes61c192.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.933844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No39c187.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4812849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No42c179.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5924351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c176$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.591,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes55c159.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7810043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.58065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes65c149.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c149.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No40c142.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes64c141.42$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.919854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x251e…bfe7backed Yes78c139.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No36c138.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes56c138.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3110757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes76c137.38$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.314456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No41c136.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8715051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No36c132.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0819255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5933…0ed2backed Yes61c130.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes57c127.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Yes79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb161…9132backed Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c120.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Yes79c111.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c104.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No15c103.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No16c103.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes67c100.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2516657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…12efbacked Yes59c98.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked No42c98.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.192035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed No29c89.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.855343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.444548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes80c87.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.564445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Yes79c87.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes68c82.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No24c79.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No25c78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4739234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes59c74.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…32f8backed Yes78c66.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.