Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d298c9ed7961be8c3d6d2915927d8c27a8de3b2120e96efd55e0e85a956fcd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,047$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 506.87$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 32c | 296.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 219.45$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 210.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 53c | 165.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 109.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 50c | 97.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…f880backed Yes | 41c | 93.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 67.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 57c | 51.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 46c | 42.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 51c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 46c | 27.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 51c | 26.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…6f4abacked Yes | 49c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 50c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 61c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.