Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c018e1a2a827ae31a933632895b72063debafa679a7343876de5be49f44af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61ef…5a75backed No | 61c | 379,264$230,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,736.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 232,791$91,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,718.31 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 39c | 28,059$10,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,115.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 24,302$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,744.27 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 39c | 22,500$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,725 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 39c | 13,554$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.64 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 12,421$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 9,327$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.32 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 40c | 7,490$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.7 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 39c | 3,797$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.42 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 39c | 3,574$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.02 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 40c | 2,894$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.26 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 2,527$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 2,437$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.51 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 2,196$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.13 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,027$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.83 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 40c | 1,975$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,495$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked No | 37c | 1,401$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 63c | 1,398$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.39 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 40c | 1,340$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.9 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 60c | 1,174$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.33 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 1c | 1,139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 61c | 1,110$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 1,079$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.75 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 1,024$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.09 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 24c | 975.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 41c | 940.6$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 801.46$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 40c | 692.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…3bf2backed Yes | 63c | 589.78$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 42c | 589.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…67f0backed Yes | 67c | 585.19$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 41c | 429.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 60c | 413.82$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 60c | 407.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 64c | 377.57$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 36c | 368.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 41c | 322$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 58c | 319.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 40c | 302.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 42c | 297.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Yes | 64c | 277.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 276.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 60c | 241.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 59c | 219.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 217.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 217.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 39c | 215$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Yes | 39c | 203.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 58c | 201.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 62c | 195.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 40c | 194.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 21c | 190.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 73c | 171.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 39c | 169.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed Yes | 41c | 163.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 152.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 40c | 140.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 60c | 139.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 41c | 139.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 138.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 30c | 136.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 38c | 129.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 59c | 121.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 117.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed Yes | 62c | 101.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 59c | 101.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 60c | 97.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 61c | 93.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 62c | 79.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 59c | 78.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 76.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 58c | 74.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.