South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc408430f27c17fc91e056ed5709f4f8aca10911310686d5f2410f04fede2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,142$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 2,044$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 39c | 1,752$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Yes | 25c | 1,001$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 47c | 823.9$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 774$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 732.39$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 35c | 531.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 56c | 394.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 366.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 56c | 266.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked No | 58c | 235.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 209$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 61c | 139.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 128.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 53c | 120.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 39c | 92.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 65c | 78.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 64.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed No | 47c | 59.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked No | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 59c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked No | 62c | 28.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 70c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Yes | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.