TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x040e…582fbacked Yes65c32,210$20,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,259.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c25,503$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No38c13,010$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No1c9,605$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.891323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No28c8,604$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.0313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No7c4,857$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.675119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No16c4,495$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.196435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes58c3,824$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes60c3,576$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.0911055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No36c3,212$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.942763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No7c2,669$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.41822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c2,080$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1624732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Yes58c1,950$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes58c1,591$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c1,471$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No20c1,283$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.951030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Yes63c986$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes67c909.41$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1315140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes62c788.06$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.464753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes65c730.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes77c701.17$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.461533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No40c601.67$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c509.3$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes63c499.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.163053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes64c453.95$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.42933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No20c436.78$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No16c389.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.642540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No25c377.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.524928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c341.62$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes66c326.53$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes63c291.74$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No20c267.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No15c247.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes63c228.27$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.467549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed No22c217.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No35c200.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.018747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No18c191.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes63c169.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+169.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c168.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.810857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.072650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No36c161.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No10c156$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No37c155.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.743145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes64c149.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No26c144.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.125853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes70c141.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes61c128.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes77c127.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c123.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes63c119.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes61c110.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes63c109.17$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.733951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes67c98.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No22c91.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes66c83.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes64c73.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7611057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked No35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes59c68.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+137.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes77c57.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x050e…7543backed Yes60c53.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked No39c48.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No39c44.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.394938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No41c44.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.163748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c38.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0314843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes59c38.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No37c35.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.182060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Yes64c33.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd9…11a7backed No36c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.495945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b9…17bdbacked No35c30.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked No35c29.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c28.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed No40c28.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No42c28.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.873946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No35c28.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes64c25.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb119…79d3backed Yes79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes77c24.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes72c24.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Yes63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes65c22.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes63c18.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes63c18.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…f376backed Yes61c16.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc484…5730backed Yes66c15.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c03…e0e2backed Yes66c15.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.