Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcef14ea8500d67f74bc1e759ffd296d5cf382dd688e01cd848ab72a74bee6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 1,494$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.39 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 22c | 818.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 449.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 447.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 79c | 290$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 245.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 20c | 238.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…43bfbacked Yes | 7c | 207.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 157.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 20c | 143.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 143.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 11c | 125.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 20c | 95.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 83.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 67.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.