Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601c48e77474c5a1d501985f5b53b36d224b3407ed08b1e3d3f08bd82839be86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 33c | 30,115$9,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,937.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 16,628$11,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.45 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 67c | 9,099$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 3,419$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.04 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 2,740$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.37 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,180$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,465$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.41 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 1,304$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 56c | 881.12$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 860.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 817.37$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 776.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 33c | 758.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.03 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 69c | 754.43$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 57c | 609.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 544.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 68c | 497.44$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 32c | 493.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 478.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 416.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 68c | 339.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 67c | 329.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 305.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 259$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 69c | 233.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 212.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 48c | 181.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 177.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 156.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 146.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Yes | 68c | 98.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 70c | 92.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 91.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 57c | 89.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 32c | 82.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…79eabacked No | 67c | 78.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 32c | 78.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 19c | 70.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 67c | 69.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 65.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 31c | 55.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 27c | 54.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 51.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 32c | 51.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 48c | 50.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 67c | 43.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 43.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed No | 64c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 66c | 39.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 59c | 37.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 66c | 33.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 33.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 48c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 43c | 23.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 67c | 21.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 77c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 67c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.