Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a8a4a7fffe1173f54c602aa80c6f086fe848dbd586e38bef9b4ae9aacda1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jelena Ostapenkoof Simona Waltert, Jelena Ostapenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Jelena Ostapenko | 52c | 11,654$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594.11 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 11,343$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.43 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Simona Waltert | 33c | 9,545$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Simona Waltert | 26c | 6,754$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.59 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Jelena Ostapenko | 65c | 6,697$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.08 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Simona Waltert | 14c | 5,400$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Simona Waltert | 39c | 4,975$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.54 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Simona Waltert | 42c | 4,596$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.19 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jelena Ostapenko | 74c | 3,951$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.46 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 3,249$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.42 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 3,198$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Simona Waltert | 17c | 2,980$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Jelena Ostapenko | 61c | 2,882$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.89 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Jelena Ostapenko | 69c | 2,846$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.13 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jelena Ostapenko | 66c | 2,777$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.35 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Simona Waltert | 34c | 2,360$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Jelena Ostapenko | 59c | 1,812$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Simona Waltert | 18c | 1,706$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Simona Waltert | 42c | 1,450$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.07 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Jelena Ostapenko | 64c | 1,221$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.73 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 64c | 1,140$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.31 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Simona Waltert | 31c | 1,041$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Simona Waltert | 42c | 999.94$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Simona Waltert | 23c | 991.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jelena Ostapenko | 69c | 925.71$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Simona Waltert | 33c | 883.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Jelena Ostapenko | 61c | 814.28$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Simona Waltert | 26c | 748.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 61c | 709.9$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…65ebbacked Simona Waltert | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Simona Waltert | 21c | 564.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Simona Waltert | 38c | 556.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Simona Waltert | 24c | 556.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 535.33$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Simona Waltert | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 473.38$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 453$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Simona Waltert | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Simona Waltert | 31c | 441.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Jelena Ostapenko | 70c | 418.35$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Jelena Ostapenko | 65c | 401.35$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 387.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Simona Waltert | 24c | 376.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 370.13$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 362.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 57c | 356.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Jelena Ostapenko | 78c | 349.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jelena Ostapenko | 61c | 346.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Simona Waltert | 31c | 339.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 339.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Simona Waltert | 45c | 303$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 300.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Jelena Ostapenko | 68c | 288.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Simona Waltert | 18c | 278.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Simona Waltert | 42c | 273.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Simona Waltert | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Jelena Ostapenko | 74c | 259.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1613backed Simona Waltert | 32c | 247.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 240.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 237$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Simona Waltert | 18c | 213.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Simona Waltert | 32c | 211.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 453 | 40%181 W · 272 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Simona Waltert | 32c | 188.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Simona Waltert | 40c | 181.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Simona Waltert | 40c | 179.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Simona Waltert | 40c | 177.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Simona Waltert | 39c | 173.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 169.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Jelena Ostapenko | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…7238backed Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 157.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Simona Waltert | 22c | 157.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Simona Waltert | 7c | 155.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 68c | 146.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jelena Ostapenko | 69c | 140.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Jelena Ostapenko | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Jelena Ostapenko | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 129.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 65c | 124.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Jelena Ostapenko | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Simona Waltert | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…cbeabacked Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 117.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Simona Waltert | 20c | 108.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jelena Ostapenko | 76c | 107.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,219 | 55%670 W · 549 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Jelena Ostapenko | 57c | 106.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Jelena Ostapenko | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Jelena Ostapenko | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Simona Waltert | 24c | 98.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Jelena Ostapenko | 56c | 97.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Jelena Ostapenko | 60c | 97.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Simona Waltert | 22c | 92.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 92.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Waltert vs OstapenkoOstapenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.