TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0185…65eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 54.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.29
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.39
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$269.38
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osoriobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Korneeva (+1.5)backed Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$215.86
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$255.41
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+89%+$187.16
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$389.91
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+690.7%+$654.52
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.92
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+267.3%+$255.65
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.28
Madrid Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.18
Madrid Open: Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$493.55
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.