TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jelena Ostapenkoof Jelena Ostapenko, Ella Seidel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafac…8730backed Ella Seidel16c7,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ella Seidel14c7,471$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Ella Seidel0c5,171$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Ella Seidel21c3,601$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9945036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ella Seidel3c3,355$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.431,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Ella Seidel17c3,235$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Ella Seidel19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Ella Seidel21c2,437$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Ella Seidel17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Ella Seidel18c2,049$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ella Seidel16c1,925$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.046,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Ella Seidel18c1,871$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8237738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Ella Seidel19c1,488$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6619339.4%76 W · 117 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Ella Seidel18c1,212$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1757321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ella Seidel11c1,183$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.821,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ella Seidel18c1,001$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.181,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Ella Seidel19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Ella Seidel20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Ella Seidel19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Ella Seidel19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ae…85ccbacked Ella Seidel10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005721.1%12 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Ella Seidel20c992.02$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.453843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ella Seidel16c802.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.456827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Ella Seidel19c799.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Ella Seidel10c784.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6336545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Ella Seidel16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ella Seidel17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Ella Seidel14c527.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5421448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Ella Seidel18c523.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9810234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Ella Seidel19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0185…65ebbacked Ella Seidel19c496$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.244843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Ella Seidel11c461.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ella Seidel20c394.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.75,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ella Seidel13c380.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ella Seidel11c361.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.794,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jelena Ostapenko79c358.06$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.673,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Ella Seidel22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7726921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ella Seidel16c317.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.662,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Ella Seidel14c315.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1455243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Ella Seidel12c308.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9838422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ella Seidel13c302.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Ella Seidel10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Ella Seidel18c283.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ella Seidel13c265$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Ella Seidel19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Ella Seidel19c217.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.551,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Ella Seidel18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3692138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Jelena Ostapenko79c169.02$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4960856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ella Seidel12c162.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.476,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Ella Seidel10c158.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5539035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ella Seidel16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Ella Seidel17c136.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9821838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ella Seidel13c130.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.313,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Jelena Ostapenko79c113.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9266452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ella Seidel13c112.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Ella Seidel15c107.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.067953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ella Seidel18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1880153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Ella Seidel20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ella Seidel16c95.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.321,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Ella Seidel20c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Ella Seidel11c90.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Ella Seidel19c88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Ella Seidel18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Ella Seidel14c74.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.412,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ella Seidel20c74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Ella Seidel21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Jelena Ostapenko79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8637158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ella Seidel19c63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.972,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jelena Ostapenko79c62.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.147,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Ella Seidel16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3998…7f0fbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Ella Seidel19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ella Seidel20c51.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.391,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Ella Seidel21c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7119634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ella Seidel21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Jelena Ostapenko76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc05…4eb4backed Jelena Ostapenko80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e5…1c91backed Jelena Ostapenko80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523851.7%123 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa149…3886backed Jelena Ostapenko80c33.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Jelena Ostapenko79c25.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.331,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Jelena Ostapenko80c24.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9745751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Jelena Ostapenko79c23.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0189859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Jelena Ostapenko80c22.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.592281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Jelena Ostapenko80c14.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.982,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…2897backed Jelena Ostapenko80c12.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0f…72ddbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.512965.9%85 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.