TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked No56c100,026$56,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,014.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes40c38,134$15,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,725.9415034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c24,566$10,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,762.331,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes45c14,591$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.2698833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c13,652$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5794,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Yes44c12,469$5,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,982.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes41c12,414$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,324.0714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c11,079$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.131,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c10,276$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.263,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6009536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c8,442$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.451,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5607553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No59c6,818$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.872475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c4,940$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.5350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes44c4,832$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.923351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes44c4,423$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes44c3,866$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.7415952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No3c3,387$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.99931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c3,183$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes41c2,772$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.778251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes40c2,331$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.412356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes58c2,270$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.8411159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes44c2,196$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.968343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No11c2,162$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2612823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes42c2,116$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.4519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c1,687$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No26c1,474$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c1,473$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.191,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes45c1,360$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.484537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No58c1,326$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked No56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No6c1,254$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.239736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes44c1,154$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.0122658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c1,101$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.988254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.8812236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes44c1,095$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.961631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Yes44c1,084$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.222433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No59c1,082$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes44c1,010$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c1…de09backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…6cebbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5409851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c984.65$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes44c982.68$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.313655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c972.99$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No30c935.79$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7618956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No58c935.18$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.45764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No54c750.04$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No56c736.35$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No11c679.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.784240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes44c658.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.993161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No27c645.11$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c644.38$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.82,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c633.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.374119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes44c589.5$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.123863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes44c536.72$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.566460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes44c527.35$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No65c523.87$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.529557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bda…8da4backed No15c518.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No10c517.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.37719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked No8c503.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No26c503.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.911,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes40c483.18$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.383839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c482.14$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.299561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes43c480$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes43c465$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0548934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes44c461.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.295862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5822335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes44c454.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3631952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No10c439.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.557444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes43c438.63$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.021040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No51c436.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.841952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No57c407.88$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No5c387.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No16c376.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes45c366.03$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20323957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c364$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Yes44c351.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes42c350.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8523843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes38c332.16$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.045625%14 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes44c315.88$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.897132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed No64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.682334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No12c287.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9514549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked No16c261.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.821030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No15c232.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.295141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.296861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c226.34$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes44c210.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.648353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11210752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No62c197.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.422050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f7d…2669backed No59c195.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes45c171.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5516860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.