Asian League · resolved market
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3cbea787e1ce8ce00a02aa95c5432052983dc06d225e853802b7f6a4a09da2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,846$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.23 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 10c | 1,127$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 6c | 888.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…d1c6backed Yes | 20c | 855$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 11c | 741.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Yes | 5c | 394.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 391.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked Yes | 8c | 200.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 80c | 197.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 80c | 197.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 80c | 177.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 80c | 158.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 19c | 151.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…98d8backed Yes | 10c | 132.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 16c | 119.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…87c1backed Yes | 20c | 58.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 80c | 29.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.