Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee018f4583c1b7ef29b0ffdd351ccc289e70e22b40aae162c0cfb00d06f4ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 62c | 4,750$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 44c | 3,092$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 2,438$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,327$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,555$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 1,286$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.51 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 996.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 30c | 978.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 38c | 778.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 73c | 743.58$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 695.33$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 41c | 628.66$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 72c | 486.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 347.45$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 340.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 78c | 251.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 187.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 72c | 179.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked No | 41c | 140.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…1e56backed Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 79c | 125.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 57c | 124.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 120.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 21c | 111.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed No | 43c | 110.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 16c | 101.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 93.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 91.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 89.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 60c | 88.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 69.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 41c | 67.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…8c7bbacked Yes | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 80c | 60.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 78c | 53.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 40c | 52.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 32c | 51.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…a826backed Yes | 78c | 50.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…6fe0backed Yes | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 37.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 39c | 35.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 60c | 34.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 79c | 34.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 33.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 38c | 31.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 59c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…6296backed Yes | 78c | 29.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Yes | 41c | 29.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 57c | 29.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 79c | 22.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 79c | 22.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…9431backed Yes | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Yes | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 78c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.