TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67d3…9431

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 65 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7560%45 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$17.94
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$7.19
Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelyginabacked Ekaterina Perelygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
Iasi Open, Qualification: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.69
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.95
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.21
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$79.43
Bastad: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Bastad: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$4.38
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+67%+$9.93
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Sofia Keninbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$6.5
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$6.78
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$6.51
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.2
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ilay Yorukbacked Julia Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6767.2%45 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$7
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$10.15
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40%+$4.86
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$20.47
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$23.14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$6.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+48%+$8.43
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+245.3%+$43.18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$13.68
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$6.7
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.97
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$19
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42%+$20.7
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$23.8
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$18.55
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$13.41
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$5.35
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Stormbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$14.67
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+137%+$14.45
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+119%+$16.3
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$14.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15100%15 W · 0 L+5.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28%+$8.75
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$12.68
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$6.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.06
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$7.7
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$34.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.