Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ilay Yoruk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbb0013a212cf3709bb8c7ecd02bd21d0e0d5aae3e608fe2505ff012695634b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilay Yorukof Julia Adams, Ilay Yoruk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ilay Yoruk | 55c | 1,347$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.39 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julia Adams | 42c | 372$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Adams | 50c | 287.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Ilay Yoruk | 39c | 258.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Julia Adams | 75c | 200.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Julia Adams | 53c | 187.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ilay Yoruk | 24c | 183.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julia Adams | 43c | 169.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Julia Adams | 76c | 136$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Julia Adams | 32c | 131.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilay Yoruk | 75c | 124.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ilay Yoruk | 24c | 119.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julia Adams | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…9431backed Julia Adams | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Julia Adams | 61c | 65.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Julia Adams | 52c | 57.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Julia Adams | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ilay Yoruk | 67c | 45.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…5d45backed Julia Adams | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilay Yoruk | 43c | 44.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ilay Yoruk | 73c | 43.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Julia Adams | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ilay Yoruk | 70c | 38.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Julia Adams | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Julia Adams | 54c | 23.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ilay Yoruk | 64c | 22.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Julia Adams | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.