Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea4e89b09fb73a6ef07a222f13bbec3e3112f5a1eaea35100a820a4634229f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 59c | 4,075$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,706$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 1,577$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.81 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 31c | 1,530$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 42c | 1,151$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 55c | 480.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 408.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 346.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 31c | 293.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked No | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 57c | 199.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 40cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 196$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 43c | 170.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 42c | 137.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 133.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 55c | 114.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 13c | 109.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 26c | 109.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 42c | 103.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 21c | 96.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 92.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Yes | 30c | 79.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 55c | 74.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 71.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 70.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 43c | 67.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 63.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 41c | 58.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 56.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 49.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…3027backed Yes | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Yes | 42c | 49.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 44c | 43.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked No | 72c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…9431backed Yes | 42c | 30.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 63c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.