Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7fc1ea0339b1d41e3502809fac7cc3ef1a93a55d064bdf50d849700d07f41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 32c | 1,958$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 40cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,471$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.17 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 477.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 48c | 473.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 468.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 424.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 404.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 300.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 65c | 201.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 155.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 30c | 111.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 98.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 70c | 98.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 30c | 94.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 30c | 91.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 77c | 75.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 32c | 68.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 22c | 61.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 44.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 37.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 46c | 33.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…e1a5backed No | 65c | 29.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…3df3backed No | 70c | 24.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 23.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.