Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf864b5aff47695ce1a51edd9070dd598db917a93527191c91a7fb6d936dd6cbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 33c | 15,023$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.06 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 67c | 7,727$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 7,211$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.91 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 20c | 7,032$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 40cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 3,557$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,819$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.98 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 73c | 1,341$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 948.41$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 937.44$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 744.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 67c | 498.47$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 475.43$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 415.56$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 409.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 33c | 391.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 30c | 321.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 304.94$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 299$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 25c | 294.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 261.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 35c | 192.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 170.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 154.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 22c | 144.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 69c | 111.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 27c | 107.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 105.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 30c | 83.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 29c | 77.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 74.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 23c | 62.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…5c12backed Yes | 29c | 59.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked No | 78c | 58.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 53.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 66c | 53.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 67c | 53.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 53.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 53.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 67c | 50.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 48.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 39.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 75c | 20.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…0111backed No | 73c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 73c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.