NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3982e7e2622b85b2defb7b9eac2933add4ff808d6434a6e11003ba70b9230b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Raptorsof Miami Heat, Toronto Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Toronto Raptors | 64c | 25,925$16,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,261.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Toronto Raptors | 65c | 18,548$11,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.59 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Heat | 33c | 15,418$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.95 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Miami Heat | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Heat | 0c | 7,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Miami Heat | 0c | 6,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…f3afbacked Miami Heat | 37c | 5,208$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 4,686$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.4 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Heat | 24c | 4,053$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.25 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Heat | 29c | 3,642$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.53 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Heat | 36c | 3,033$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Miami Heat | 34c | 2,839$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Miami Heat | 7c | 2,711$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Miami Heat | 35c | 2,611$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.55 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Heat | 24c | 2,293$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Miami Heat | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Miami Heat | 27c | 1,972$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.91 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Heat | 1c | 1,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Heat | 33c | 1,862$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.27 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Miami Heat | 43c | 1,793$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Miami Heat | 25c | 1,662$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Toronto Raptors | 50c | 1,595$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Toronto Raptors | 77c | 1,389$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.69 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Heat | 29c | 1,262$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.81 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Miami Heat | 38c | 1,172$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Raptors | 66c | 1,050$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Miami Heat | 22c | 1,016$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Toronto Raptors | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Miami Heat | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Miami Heat | 22c | 800$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Miami Heat | 33c | 784.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Miami Heat | 36c | 749.96$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Heat | 36c | 697.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Heat | 33c | 655.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Miami Heat | 12c | 651.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Toronto Raptors | 65c | 611.25$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Heat | 45c | 600$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Miami Heat | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Raptors | 66c | 558.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Heat | 37c | 532.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Toronto Raptors | 63c | 509.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 508.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 500.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 500.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Miami Heat | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Miami Heat | 36c | 494.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Heat | 36c | 477.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Raptors | 64c | 471.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Miami Heat | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Miami Heat | 43c | 449$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 445.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Miami Heat | 38c | 423.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Miami Heat | 22c | 391.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Heat | 36c | 377.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Miami Heat | 40c | 370$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Miami Heat | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Heat | 28c | 333.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Toronto Raptors | 61c | 321$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Miami Heat | 9c | 296.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Toronto Raptors | 59c | 289.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Miami Heat | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…449abacked Miami Heat | 28c | 266.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Miami Heat | 36c | 264.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Toronto Raptors | 53c | 262.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Heat | 8c | 244$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Toronto Raptors | 62c | 222.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Toronto Raptors | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Miami Heat | 35c | 219$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Miami Heat | 40c | 218$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Toronto Raptors | 59c | 202.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Toronto Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Miami Heat | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Miami Heat | 41c | 193.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Toronto Raptors | 45c | 191.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…bda4backed Toronto Raptors | 67c | 178.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Miami Heat | 30c | 158.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Miami Heat | 34c | 157.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…0689backed Toronto Raptors | 61c | 151.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Heat | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Miami Heat | 20c | 135.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Toronto Raptors | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Miami Heat | 37c | 130.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Miami Heat | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Miami Heat | 41c | 122.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 120.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Miami Heat | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Raptors | 59c | 110.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Miami Heat | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Miami Heat | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Miami Heat | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Miami Heat | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Toronto Raptors | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…fcadbacked Miami Heat | 26c | 96.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Miami Heat | 24c | 96.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Miami Heat | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Miami Heat | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.