WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4d50821ec455ffdbac057f0c03250a54582a5a46c9da8545b224fb33c3af25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof PortlandFire, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed PortlandFire | 48c | 37,057$17,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,771.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 28,363$9,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400.66 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 14,178$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,689.45 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 11,397$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.35 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 10,768$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 9,472$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 56c | 9,412$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 9,119$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 6,074$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 77c | 5,805$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.29 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed PortlandFire | 54c | 5,635$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.58 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 43c | 5,363$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.7 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 4,775$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.84 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked PortlandFire | 53c | 4,738$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PortlandFire | 34c | 4,444$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 3,486$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.02 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 3,460$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 34c | 3,323$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.76 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed PortlandFire | 17c | 3,187$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Washington Mystics | 33c | 3,139$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PortlandFire | 48c | 3,129$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PortlandFire | 78c | 3,077$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Washington Mystics | 61c | 2,977$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 2,498$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.67 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 37c | 2,253$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.86 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Washington Mystics | 72c | 1,888$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 28c | 1,825$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 2c | 1,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 1,647$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.79 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 40c | 1,632$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.2 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed PortlandFire | 39c | 1,583$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.69 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 1,577$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,375$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.88 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed PortlandFire | 58c | 1,303$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Washington Mystics | 29c | 1,289$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.76 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked PortlandFire | 44c | 1,150$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 1,120$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed PortlandFire | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked PortlandFire | 43c | 1,033$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.7 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…97bcbacked Washington Mystics | 79c | 1,014$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Mystics | 31c | 966.38$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.64 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire | 43c | 929.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed PortlandFire | 57c | 883.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 852.77$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.38 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire | 26c | 849.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed PortlandFire | 44c | 811.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed PortlandFire | 20c | 794.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked PortlandFire | 74c | 737.69$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed PortlandFire | 39c | 735.48$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 722$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed PortlandFire | 31c | 718.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 689.89$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 686.69$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 686.21$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 685.23$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed PortlandFire | 40c | 658.51$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 57c | 637$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Washington Mystics | 79c | 631.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed PortlandFire | 40c | 625$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 29c | 613.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 582.7$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 575.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…10b1backed PortlandFire | 63c | 569.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 560$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PortlandFire | 35c | 547.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 535.29$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed PortlandFire | 39c | 520.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 56c | 505.54$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 487.16$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed PortlandFire | 44c | 479.84$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…5e38backed PortlandFire | 42c | 472.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d8c2backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 446.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire | 29c | 430$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…b028backed PortlandFire | 31c | 427.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 420.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 44c | 416.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Washington Mystics | 29c | 410.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 384$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed PortlandFire | 54c | 373.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 370.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Washington Mystics | 80c | 368.95$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed PortlandFire | 11c | 367.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked PortlandFire | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 357$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 29c | 354.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 349.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 340.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 340.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 73c | 330.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 329.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed PortlandFire | 52c | 318.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Washington Mystics | 72c | 314.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 302.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Washington Mystics | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 28c | 299.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsthis page
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.