WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053d5bd55d567f538be3314ee037db76043355da9f0aedeff270d854f86ae8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 51c | 1,537$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Over | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 410$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…cc85backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Under | 38c | 289.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 62c | 287.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…b757backed Over | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 174.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 60c | 159.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 50c | 155.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 50c | 144.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 46c | 135.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 50c | 129.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 66c | 103.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 102.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 97.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 97.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 36c | 95.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 41c | 88.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 71.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Under | 49c | 57.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 51.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 34c | 51.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 48.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 50c | 48.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 59c | 45.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 44.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c19bbacked Under | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 40c | 40.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 30.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.