TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c12,858$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.3353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c4,395$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.741,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,315$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.993,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c2,789$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.5941339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,394$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c2,191$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.031,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No77c1,600$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c1,397$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.071,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes64c1,255$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes11c946.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1310043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes22c848.34$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.554025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x647d…a061backed No34c680.55$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes66c654.97$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c604.39$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes15c571.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4913518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes34c546.5$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9610753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No39c512$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.321926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+80.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No78c489.93$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0320249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes30c374.66$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No72c334.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.644247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked No30c306.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x643d…98bebacked No50c298.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes20c261.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes52c244.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7723548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c198.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed No50c195.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.762842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes49c184.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes22c184.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6220554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No27c178.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.553231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c178.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c175.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.781,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes39c160.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c150.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes23c149.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3424326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes11c145.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.024020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes64c145$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes24c142.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.614740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No78c139.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes69c128.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.382556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No77c99.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.858065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.712373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No35c96.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No78c95.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.122552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed No77c84.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No42c75.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.16065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes23c67.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5337249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No41c65.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.631747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9219255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Yes31c57.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c57.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c54.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c52.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes51c50.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.953548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes24c49.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7526150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5bf…0eccbacked Yes23c49.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c49.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No78c46.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0916656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…17bdbacked No77c44.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed No41c42.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.213560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked No62c38.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes37c37.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9412346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c37.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No78c36.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8414957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yes56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.913557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.920154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes67c21.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed No78c21.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Yes72c20.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No78c20.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.496155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No71c19.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.781361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.788552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No75c16.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.013470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No76c15.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8212254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c15.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.819560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd67e…8a91backed No78c15.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No77c15.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.482060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…8417backed No78c14.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.267100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No73c14.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.