TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Savannah: Michael Mmoh vs Franco Roncadelli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franco Roncadelliof Michael Mmoh, Franco Roncadelli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cae…a00abacked Franco Roncadelli16c4,749$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.894163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Franco Roncadelli69c4,531$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.8146473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli44c4,088$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michael Mmoh61c3,397$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.727,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh35c3,002$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Michael Mmoh33c2,404$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.732,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Franco Roncadelli17c2,330$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.771,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Michael Mmoh80c2,297$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.4556757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Mmoh43c2,223$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.014,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Roncadelli36c2,172$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.356,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Franco Roncadelli37c1,528$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Michael Mmoh78c1,324$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03615948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Michael Mmoh66c1,162$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.931,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Franco Roncadelli77c1,153$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3537741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Franco Roncadelli17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83013450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Michael Mmoh78c980.32$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Michael Mmoh78c961.41$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.93333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Michael Mmoh2c899.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%0 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Franco Roncadelli44c872.48$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Franco Roncadelli22c868.1$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.471,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Franco Roncadelli17c738.84$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.241,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Franco Roncadelli15c671.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.651,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Michael Mmoh25c629.74$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.251,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Michael Mmoh57c526.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Michael Mmoh80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf62…54d4backed Michael Mmoh14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Michael Mmoh80c499.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8636852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Franco Roncadelli62c434.28$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a5…c965backed Michael Mmoh80c432.86$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.783461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Michael Mmoh4c415.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Michael Mmoh80c395.2$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.169743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Mmoh76c365$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.939,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Franco Roncadelli68c329.66$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4926451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Franco Roncadelli20c311.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5311040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Franco Roncadelli71c309.76$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3727040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Michael Mmoh79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23715248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Michael Mmoh61c300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18217436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Franco Roncadelli43c278.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5735032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…4d74backed Michael Mmoh77c258.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Franco Roncadelli23c246.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfc…521fbacked Michael Mmoh79c211.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.91573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli54c191.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.466,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Franco Roncadelli65c161.68$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Franco Roncadelli52c138.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.182,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ce…570abacked Franco Roncadelli77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463650%18 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Michael Mmoh50c126.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.358473.8%62 W · 22 L+24.4wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+68.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Franco Roncadelli75c107.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4157953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Franco Roncadelli37c104.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.522,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Franco Roncadelli23c103.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8327935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf91…dc43backed Michael Mmoh76c103.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4713261.4%81 W · 51 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Franco Roncadelli20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Franco Roncadelli20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8027543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Franco Roncadelli67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3341955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Franco Roncadelli14c95.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1724837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Franco Roncadelli75c89.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.373549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Franco Roncadelli67c88.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2627936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5167…e14bbacked Franco Roncadelli17c83.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Michael Mmoh44c80.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5622049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Franco Roncadelli37c80.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Michael Mmoh49c79.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Franco Roncadelli75c74.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Michael Mmoh23c71.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Michael Mmoh46c67.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9365264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Franco Roncadelli38c65.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Franco Roncadelli48c63.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Franco Roncadelli65c63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Michael Mmoh44c61.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Michael Mmoh78c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Franco Roncadelli66c59.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35164.7%33 W · 18 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Franco Roncadelli64c56.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3657267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Michael Mmoh36c52.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7427147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Franco Roncadelli77c51.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Michael Mmoh79c49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Franco Roncadelli21c48.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.375945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Mmoh40c47.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.012,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Michael Mmoh77c47.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.877,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Michael Mmoh36c43.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8995050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f0…f424backed Michael Mmoh55c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Michael Mmoh79c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.811,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Franco Roncadelli65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1831463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Franco Roncadelli64c37.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3533661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Michael Mmoh80c35.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.362850%14 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Franco Roncadelli63c34.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7561752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Franco Roncadelli63c34.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7513557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Mmoh53c33.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.877,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Michael Mmoh38c33.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8163052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Franco Roncadelli64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.016360.3%38 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Michael Mmoh78c28.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8113467.2%90 W · 44 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Michael Mmoh46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.318072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Michael Mmoh78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Franco Roncadelli63c23.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6874955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Franco Roncadelli76c23.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5221172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Franco Roncadelli73c22.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.134957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Michael Mmoh53c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1819474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x72e9…6743backed Franco Roncadelli66c19.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1105…2775backed Michael Mmoh80c19.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bd…11bcbacked Michael Mmoh76c18.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Franco Roncadelli71c14.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.110163.4%64 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.