Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b032e80e6d4e2ff0630f6b5033d64a23ded5c25dcd0e274523f973e21bcc5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,843$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 49c | 1,821$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Yes | 51c | 1,818$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 1,179$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 23c | 808.61$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.84 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 463.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 22c | 459.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.97 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 48c | 420.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 392.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 352$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 348.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 327.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 51c | 252.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 56c | 251.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 17c | 155.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 152.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 147.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 145.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 114.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 44c | 109.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 70c | 105.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 57c | 105.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 89.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Yes | 53c | 85.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 81.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Yes | 35c | 80.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 14c | 73.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 72.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 17c | 70.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed Yes | 62c | 67.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 80c | 62.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 61.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 22c | 58.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 54.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 26c | 46.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 43.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7f8abacked Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 45c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 60c | 29.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5a58backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.