Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a21e0e04c345755715b48103edf6b05ed2d167d4ba559e8e69c4b6c213f56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 44c | 6,163$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 58c | 3,446$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.18 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 52c | 960.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 55c | 678$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 52c | 678$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Yes | 19c | 620.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 548.15$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 412.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed No | 59c | 405.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 77c | 397.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 384.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 355.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 342.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 315.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 38c | 260.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 59c | 174.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 152.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…aadfbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 120.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 22c | 106.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 51c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Yes | 58c | 101.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 101$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 89.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 75.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 60.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 52.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 50.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 74c | 50.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 54.8%183 W · 151 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.