Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00bc0d1d0bfb8a43d8ee39481add73fac400a23dfa6ae52d302f61faacf00778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,738$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Yes | 9c | 726.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…90d7backed Yes | 17c | 519.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…bcd2backed Yes | 12c | 495.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 13c | 289.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7529backed Yes | 14c | 278.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 152.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…f4ffbacked Yes | 13c | 151.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 18c | 138.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 129.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 64c | 124.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yes | 18c | 106.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 92.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 27c | 68.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 61.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 37c | 52.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…fa8dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 44.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 72c | 38.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 32.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.