TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes54c20,704$11,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,208.393625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c11,034$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.343,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No46c10,011$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.9123548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes51c8,103$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.739239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes48c7,762$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.5715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No50c4,524$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.2141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes47c3,461$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.5871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c3,053$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.4787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes48c2,382$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.183452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c1,526$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.991,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No52c1,448$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.962744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No52c1,238$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.371752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes9c1,083$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.272035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No46c974.08$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5243551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No46c899.87$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9328851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No65c849.27$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes42c744.6$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes8c705.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6916453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c615.91$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes19c539.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.282030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No54c520.61$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.097953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c466.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7621547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes46c407.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.441,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes12c401.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3513518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c376.81$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes31c305.31$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.123842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c265.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No52c265.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.353461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c265.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3514151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No48c246.22$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.035448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes46c229.27$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No53c221.53$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.123636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c212.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes48c203.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6613046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No52c195.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.071580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6524859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6519056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes48c177.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+90.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c167.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes9c152.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7114761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c51…ea01backed Yes22c142.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c140.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4522946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes46c131.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c125.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c103.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Yes47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8219255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.823470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes46c92.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5820535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c90.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes50c87.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c84.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7623643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c80.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9819645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ac7…75b4backed Yes49c71.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes51c66.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+134.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No52c66.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e9…6743backed No52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Yes51c50.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No51c50.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+61.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No76c47.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4712667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.416443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.417644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No53c42.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.116656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes39c40.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked No48c40.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Yes49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes47c38.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.453268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.655851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.934845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9312254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.458950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Yes47c32.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes47c32.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.236155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.129965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No52c27.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No52c22.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed No53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.344163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.