TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c109,488$51,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,459.2669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over53c66,481$35,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,246.2519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c14,385$7,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,753.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c13,837$7,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,503.3932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c9,753$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.1763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c9,271$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.291,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8253641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c6,120$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.251,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over53c3,887$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.9856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75030448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over49c3,232$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.3110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Under46c3,215$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c3,175$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.9565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over51c2,915$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.3758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c2,622$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,596$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c2,282$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.071,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c2,226$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under47c2,039$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.513750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c2,035$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.5414251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over52c1,991$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.721653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under48c1,639$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.8545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,639$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under48c1,615$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c1,591$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.6566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,549$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.661,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.1916743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under50c1,377$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.111,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c1,298$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under50c1,295$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.5414640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,278$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c1,022$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…1f13backed Under51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc762…8970backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159b…8566backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Over52c999.95$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.975770.2%40 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over53c844.15$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.756238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c835.9$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.121,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Over53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.714156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c713.01$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under43c695.63$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5314634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c617.88$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29132450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c549.81$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c548.05$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c520.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c515.4$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over51c497.85$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under46c438.77$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over58c337.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.832470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa17a…eac9backed Over53c330.69$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over53c320.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f1f…421cbacked Under50c319.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c306.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c299.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.821,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under47c289.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.831,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Over51c258.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8713751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over53c256.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5810750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over53c252.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9521354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c248.66$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.643,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under46c228.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c224.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c222.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under48c215.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4976247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c210.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c206.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Under47c204.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.352254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d8…fc2abacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Over51c194.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under47c190.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.657751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3259…6e3fbacked Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.183231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c173.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under46c167.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under46c166.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.372352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c160.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.131,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c154.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…1822backed Over54c153.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b4…beefbacked Under47c152.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over51c133.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over52c132.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.375455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c129.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over53c129.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under47c125.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.068350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Over53c120.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.649046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over52c112.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under49c112.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under29c106.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under46c105.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3744347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.