NFL · resolved market
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b34afe08b39303bf5fb97092c36148655ea570e2a618b76077ed47a5549443b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed No | 14c | 13,128$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 70c | 4,110$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 29c | 2,824$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 43c | 2,385$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Yes | 61c | 2,273$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…14ecbacked No | 5c | 2,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed No | 1c | 1,980$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 19c | 1,925$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…342abacked Yes | 53c | 1,346$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 57c | 1,303$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4e45backed Yes | 65c | 1,274$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…5ddfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,095$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked Yes | 74c | 1,012$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 75c | 1,001$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 63c | 850$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed No | 36c | 849.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 50c | 802.61$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 63c | 717$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…8ceebacked Yes | 41c | 687.96$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 71c | 568.69$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…6018backed Yes | 73c | 551.56$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 502.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…e0ffbacked Yes | 41c | 490.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 376.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 40c | 372.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 63c | 367.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 80c | 363.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…c477backed Yes | 62c | 359.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 60c | 353.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…cf00backed Yes | 58c | 351.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed No | 30c | 346.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 76c | 324.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed Yes | 63c | 304.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…41e4backed Yes | 17c | 298.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…5dc6backed Yes | 56c | 297.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 75c | 296.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 14c | 285.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 282.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 33c | 264.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…76b3backed Yes | 67c | 246.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…f7f0backed Yes | 68c | 235.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Yes | 11c | 233.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 79c | 228.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 11c | 226.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 80c | 224.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 221.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 64c | 220$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…94f8backed Yes | 71c | 202.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 34c | 202.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…f929backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…9457backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 17c | 194.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 62c | 193.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…2bddbacked Yes | 14c | 177.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…d4e0backed Yes | 64c | 172.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 59c | 164.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 14c | 164$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…ad10backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 17c | 149$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked No | 38c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +274.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…50c7backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed Yes | 75c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 123.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…cfdfbacked Yes | 72c | 122.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 63c | 119.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 62c | 117.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked No | 31c | 115.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…2a92backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…1eedbacked Yes | 61c | 99.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5d18backed Yes | 72c | 96.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…256cbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…bdffbacked Yes | 70c | 83.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 65c | 79.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…af53backed Yes | 64c | 74.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 64c | 73.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Yes | 31c | 71.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 42c | 71.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0033…2ed2backed Yes | 22c | 67.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15aa…0effbacked Yes | 68c | 67.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…cf53backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b846backed Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…8363backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 73c | 59.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…91f6backed Yes | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 64c | 52.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…1562backed No | 37c | 50.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 61c | 48.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…ec9dbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…96dcbacked Yes | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?this page
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get 80 million or more views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?No won
- Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.