World Politics · resolved market
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d4c886d88c224bed895bcd78cede2b4de8e57c0afe5b0e0c47eec16613edd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 55c | 31,145$17,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,027.77 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…3f65backed Yes | 22c | 25,725$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 49c | 20,972$10,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,329.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 29c | 20,817$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +2,378.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 14,111$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.42 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 41c | 13,071$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.67 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 48c | 12,592$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.14 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 45c | 9,838$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.69 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Yes | 7c | 8,774$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 9c | 8,010$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.88 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 25c | 7,688$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.64 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 77c | 6,225$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.26 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 45c | 5,707$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 45c | 5,577$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.31 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 29c | 4,873$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 49c | 4,436$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.26 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 26c | 4,131$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.32 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 59c | 4,130$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.98 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 26c | 3,423$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…19aebacked Yes | 34c | 3,061$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 62c | 3,052$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.78 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,006$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.38 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,505$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.66 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 46c | 2,422$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.12 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 50c | 2,251$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.42 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,104$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.18 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 12c | 1,955$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 34c | 1,841$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.9 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 51c | 1,717$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.38 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…15c2backed Yes | 46c | 1,671$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…1917backed Yes | 50c | 1,624$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,498$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 1,314$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d25cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,254$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 49c | 1,252$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,153$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 64c | 1,112$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.09 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…9835backed Yes | 27c | 1,093$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,085$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.69 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 37c | 1,064$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…e497backed Yes | 49c | 1,041$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…dab9backed Yes | 34c | 1,034$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…db3abacked Yes | 52c | 958.46$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 47c | 863.2$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.88 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…90fabacked Yes | 51c | 853.59$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 74c | 811.88$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 16c | 792.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…2fe4backed Yes | 49c | 716.1$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 42c | 676.18$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 622.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 39c | 613$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 600$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 50c | 599.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed Yes | 41c | 562.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 560$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…4370backed Yes | 17c | 537.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 74c | 536.29$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 523$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 495.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 44c | 486$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 44c | 467.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 8c | 456$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 51c | 428.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.02 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 44c | 427$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…1567backed Yes | 4c | 420.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 416.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yes | 43c | 408$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 34c | 405.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 27c | 401$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked No | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 53c | 388.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 376.12$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 51c | 352$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 40c | 333$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 52c | 321.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…df02backed Yes | 50c | 316.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 19c | 305.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…5f15backed Yes | 48c | 289.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 55c | 288.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 51c | 280$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 7c | 274$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 77c | 256.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…0bd8backed Yes | 43c | 230.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 49c | 229$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked No | 80c | 218.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?this page
- Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo del Castillo win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Paz win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.