World Politics · resolved market
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4615db4766881d064c19a6ca9ea6f3f3bc4d55c41fac513d1ca7a2f4dc96e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $990,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,026,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 8c | 197,721$15,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,054.59 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 3c | 66,073$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 5c | 35,217$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.7 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcc…9a3bbacked Yes | 3c | 16,581$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 9c | 11,361$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 9c | 11,258$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.94 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…faadbacked Yes | 3c | 10,914$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +742.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,914$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 11c | 10,715$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 3c | 10,281$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 10,252$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 3c | 9,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72c…db43backed Yes | 4c | 8,417$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Yes | 1c | 7,597$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 7,250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 3c | 7,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 10c | 6,983$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.3 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…0762backed Yes | 3c | 6,244$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 11c | 4,751$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 3,781$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,689$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 12c | 3,509$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 3,217$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,136$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 7c | 3,127$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 2,527$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.01 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 16c | 2,490$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…b6e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,202$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 10c | 2,047$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 9c | 1,811$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,768$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,554$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,485$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…b0cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,134$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,119$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 12c | 1,085$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,076$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,032$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 2c | 999$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 3c | 997.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 13c | 908$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 9c | 898$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…1c08backed Yes | 3c | 890$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 15c | 810.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 3c | 700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…98c9backed Yes | 20c | 649.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…9835backed Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 12c | 604$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 8c | 555$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 517.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 9c | 467.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 3c | 441.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 435.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 8c | 418$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 4c | 398.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5461backed Yes | 3c | 373$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 321.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 6c | 201$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 10c | 200.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…669bbacked Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…f97abacked Yes | 18c | 153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 80c | 151.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 11c | 129.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 14c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 18c | 98.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 11c | 96.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…589cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…d51cbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?this page
- Will Eduardo del Castillo win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Paz win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes won
- Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.