Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde73d22df7782a7736cc5d6a3750cfd36f5a47c94c867f657ec955a0181a3894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 32c | 14,559$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,895.56 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 68c | 10,989$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497.45 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 33c | 10,910$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280.51 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 31c | 10,653$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.39 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 33c | 6,265$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…db63backed Yes | 29c | 5,500$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 38c | 4,969$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 68c | 4,491$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.59 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 30c | 4,408$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.78 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 29c | 3,551$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 33c | 3,403$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.21 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…a6bebacked Yes | 35c | 3,034$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3962…7c83backed Yes | 31c | 2,333$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 2,200$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 31c | 1,527$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.18 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 32c | 1,428$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.36 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…9be6backed Yes | 34c | 1,334$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…7bd1backed Yes | 36c | 970.64$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 19c | 920.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 27c | 915.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 40c | 896.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…ce8ebacked No | 68c | 812.7$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 31c | 800$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 19c | 736$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 33c | 700.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.29 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…d49fbacked No | 2c | 699$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…4d07backed Yes | 39c | 660$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 62c | 641$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.42 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 558.46$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.38 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 33c | 542.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 26c | 532.4$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.65 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 38c | 440.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 24c | 431.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.15 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 408.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…0066backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 394.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…ab78backed Yes | 39c | 377.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…7fa1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 34c | 327$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 23c | 301.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 278.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…9ef9backed Yes | 28c | 276.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…3437backed Yes | 30c | 275.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…3977backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 29c | 245.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 65c | 232$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…aa17backed Yes | 32c | 231.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 32c | 208.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c14…4ed6backed Yes | 28c | 205.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked No | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Yes | 27c | 195$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +241.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 194.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 70c | 168$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 29c | 167.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 26c | 163.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 39c | 149.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…5b19backed Yes | 27c | 147.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 34c | 126$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…10e5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…a9cdbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…5e2abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…63c3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 63c | 91.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yes | 28c | 89.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…bf19backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…7096backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +889.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…fee7backed Yes | 30c | 66.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc4…7c35backed Yes | 40c | 63.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 64c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 32c | 51.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…95dabacked No | 73c | 44.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…31a7backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 61c | 18.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.