Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e28b723891da929a689d1d9014a8163f85cf49d13f8816ac7754af4bfc5b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 40c | 11,308$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.17 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 40c | 10,188$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.23 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 44c | 8,811$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.9 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 42c | 4,062$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.96 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3962…7c83backed Yes | 42c | 3,484$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 63c | 3,170$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 48c | 2,547$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 42c | 2,438$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.06 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 43c | 2,303$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.1 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 51c | 2,278$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 40c | 2,190$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.74 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 1,800$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 38c | 1,411$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 11c | 1,272$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 42c | 1,105$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.45 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,100$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 38c | 1,056$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 38c | 644.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 41c | 621$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 591.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 39c | 564.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 42c | 464.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…ac1ebacked Yes | 57c | 439.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 53c | 437.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 62c | 431.48$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 46c | 388.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…3437backed Yes | 54c | 368.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 34c | 360$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed Yes | 38c | 360$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…3082backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 271.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 37c | 267$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…5d88backed Yes | 42c | 260.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…5b19backed No | 46c | 255.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 245.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 49c | 229.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…e7b6backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…6667backed Yes | 61c | 195.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 63c | 159.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 157.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…312dbacked Yes | 48c | 156.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 36c | 147.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…f9a3backed Yes | 68c | 146.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…a193backed No | 51c | 139.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 37c | 137.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 34c | 129.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0522backed Yes | 57c | 117.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…7bb4backed No | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…10e5backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…a9cdbacked Yes | 46c | 98.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 45c | 91.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…d796backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 46c | 88.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 64c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 56c | 71.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…1386backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 59c | 67.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 35c | 64.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…bf19backed No | 60c | 60.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…41edbacked Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 53c | 50.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…f549backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…f830backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…4f4bbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb7…5b4bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…f7ddbacked Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…95dabacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc4…7c35backed No | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…07eebacked Yes | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…40c4backed No | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…3ea8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…4e4cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…bcccbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…4e68backed Yes | 54c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…7b24backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…9a2dbacked No | 53c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…2778backed No | 58c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…7fddbacked No | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…ce01backed No | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.