AI · resolved market
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed396022e65e2d0942c1b846fff1726e67c3e8d29ed830c73fbe8c824057807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 46c | 10,307$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.55 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…43bdbacked Yes | 48c | 7,150$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 77c | 6,858$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed No | 21c | 3,846$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +383.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 73c | 2,046$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…146fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…31adbacked Yes | 2c | 1,964$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed No | 25c | 1,810$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 77c | 1,799$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 62c | 1,799$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 69c | 1,768$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 16c | 1,569$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.19 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…ea11backed Yes | 15c | 1,519$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 64c | 1,430$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 10c | 1,259$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.27 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…0080backed Yes | 1c | 1,245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 56c | 1,095$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…8fe8backed Yes | 55c | 1,065$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 49c | 1,001$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.25 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 75c | 984.15$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 969.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…53d5backed Yes | 16c | 966.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 43c | 944.22$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30f…ee2ebacked Yes | 18c | 921.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…38f5backed No | 54c | 899.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 58c | 857.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…ee50backed No | 70c | 850.71$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 822$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 790.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.98 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 20c | 789.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 769.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 45c | 639$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 15c | 634.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 629.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 25c | 629$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 45c | 619.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Yes | 5c | 614.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 77c | 605.56$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 32c | 600$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 560.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…dc06backed Yes | 18c | 558.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 76c | 525$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0a39backed Yes | 17c | 475.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 457.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…b8e1backed No | 28c | 450$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 70c | 444.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 70c | 440.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 27c | 426.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.85 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 49c | 408.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 20c | 394.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 387.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 52c | 385.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 59c | 370.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…d9aabacked Yes | 35c | 350.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 9c | 344.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…89ddbacked Yes | 19c | 320.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…074dbacked Yes | 33c | 306.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…fdddbacked Yes | 47c | 304.16$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 15c | 301.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 7c | 299.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 11c | 274.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +264%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 52c | 272.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…08d3backed Yes | 58c | 258.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 257$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 39c | 250.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…1e49backed No | 42c | 236.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 11c | 233.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…f722backed No | 34c | 232$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…c52cbacked Yes | 23c | 230.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 52c | 229.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 16c | 227.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 51c | 222.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 64c | 220.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 25c | 214.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 20c | 211.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f246backed Yes | 51c | 210$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 64c | 208.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 78c | 206.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…ae7dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 70c | 199.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +211%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 36c | 197.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed No | 17c | 183$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…a179backed No | 55c | 181.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 9c | 180.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed No | 62c | 178.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…e99dbacked No | 62c | 172.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…de32backed Yes | 21c | 171.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 38c | 170.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 13c | 170.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.