CS2 · resolved market
Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21806ff241e7d97fe5737bdfe946e4986356f7e91adefc5043402f70db09720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked No | 37c | 50,507$18,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,814.32 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 51c | 40,651$20,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,587.01 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…7ca4backed Yes | 5c | 19,760$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 63c | 19,146$12,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,097.86 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 67c | 11,500$7,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 33c | 8,452$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 66c | 7,553$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.95 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed No | 33c | 4,298$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.5 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked No | 34c | 3,421$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…0691backed No | 47c | 2,104$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…8b74backed No | 35c | 1,986$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed No | 34c | 1,839$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed No | 34c | 1,468$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.98 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 66c | 1,130$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.39 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 1,036$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.06 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 10c | 999.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…1ad5backed Yes | 67c | 994.99$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 65c | 739.66$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.07 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked No | 33c | 642.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 71c | 428$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 65c | 363.57$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 47c | 299.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…3c5abacked Yes | 62c | 294.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yes | 45c | 284.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 39c | 250.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 20c | 244.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 62c | 238.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 43c | 224.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 31c | 221.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Yes | 50c | 199.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 68c | 181.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 69c | 144.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 66c | 143.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 60c | 83.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yes | 60c | 82.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked No | 31c | 69.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 54c | 64.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 59c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Yes | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes | 37c | 54.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Yes | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed Yes | 66c | 46.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Yes | 42c | 44.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Yes | 57c | 38.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 35.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Yes | 71c | 33.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed Yes | 63c | 31.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…0f25backed Yes | 50c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 78c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?this page
- Will GamerLegion win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No won
- Will TYLOO win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?Yes won
- Will Virtus.pro win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.