CS2 · resolved market
Will TYLOO win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05dfb3222468cd4ba168df075828df226d2bc3e60cb4829255fe379513f050e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 50c | 31,329$15,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,687.5 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Yes | 37c | 16,503$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,441.69 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yes | 33c | 6,081$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.59 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…0691backed Yes | 34c | 3,187$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,178$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,145$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.29 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…8b74backed Yes | 40c | 2,151$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 35c | 1,646$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.71 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 1,030$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.3 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes | 35c | 670.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 12c | 533$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 33c | 499.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 385$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 66c | 349.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 67c | 299.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 45c | 224.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 38c | 186.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 53c | 101.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 34c | 93.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 40c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…1c6dbacked Yes | 77c | 82.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed No | 39c | 64.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…1220backed Yes | 37c | 62.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 25c | 52.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Yes | 51c | 43.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 32c | 43.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed No | 55c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 55c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed No | 69c | 26.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…869cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 68c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed No | 65c | 17.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TYLOO win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?this page
- Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No won
- Will Virtus.pro win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.