Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc58e2286cf1b9a92077797b120dd61d5e6afac23b03f066a176fce4637c1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0132…dfdabacked Yes | 33c | 52,776$17,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,416.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked No | 67c | 52,776$35,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,416.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…c818backed Yes | 29c | 51,302$14,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,877.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…d83abacked No | 71c | 51,302$36,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,877.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…7b97backed Yes | 6c | 20,542$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 6,827$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…d54abacked Yes | 8c | 6,070$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…1698backed Yes | 6c | 5,826$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,828$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…b92fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,248$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 4c | 2,566$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…5884backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 4c | 1,705$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 8c | 1,700$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,649$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 4c | 1,348$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 8c | 1,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…76aabacked Yes | 8c | 1,271$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 4c | 1,127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 5c | 1,110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,095$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,074$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 10c | 999.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 8c | 926.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…4d99backed Yes | 4c | 926.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 4c | 768.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 5c | 742.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 705.28$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.47 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…0666backed Yes | 5c | 658.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 27c | 534.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…7f62backed Yes | 7c | 500.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…2dd6backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b5b5backed Yes | 6c | 490.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…86a3backed Yes | 4c | 477.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…56f6backed Yes | 5c | 437.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…8fdebacked No | 66c | 359.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…3234backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…f913backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…7a44backed Yes | 6c | 325.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…5390backed Yes | 31c | 320.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…fdeebacked Yes | 7c | 305.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…5614backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…7b64backed Yes | 34c | 297.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 293.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…13aabacked Yes | 8c | 286.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…1474backed Yes | 14c | 276.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 8c | 261.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 251.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 34c | 248.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…a528backed Yes | 8c | 247.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Yes | 10c | 200.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…db18backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 32c | 192.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…73adbacked Yes | 6c | 177.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…0e3fbacked Yes | 34c | 174.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed Yes | 32c | 169.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…03b1backed Yes | 10c | 167.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…2f30backed Yes | 9c | 167.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 57c | 161.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 7c | 160.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…ac11backed Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…3797backed No | 69c | 145.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 66c | 132$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…ef3ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…2bb3backed Yes | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…6fc1backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 74c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 75c | 53.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 56c | 50.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…99b9backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 33c | 38.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 69c | 32.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…339fbacked Yes | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…1d55backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 69c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?this page
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2025?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.