AI · resolved market
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda55ed77fe9a1a5fede20c01f686f6ec22ee8d3ba2ad693db85c595890522b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 16c | 6,100$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 5,223$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed No | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,657$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 34c | 2,863$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 4c | 2,714$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 1,693$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.53 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 67c | 1,600$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,358$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 2c | 1,272$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked Yes | 44c | 1,139$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 7c | 1,066$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 1,030$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.35 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 989.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 3c | 966.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 4c | 932.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 33c | 928.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.57 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 6c | 920.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 891.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 52c | 838.17$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…5c11backed No | 65c | 766.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 2c | 730.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 23c | 709.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 677.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…a3afbacked Yes | 47c | 645.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…a101backed No | 63c | 598.08$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…3fc7backed No | 78c | 579.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 3c | 576.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 565.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 4c | 555.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 20c | 555$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 5c | 543.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 3c | 516.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 3c | 504.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +413.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 65c | 500$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 490.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.87 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 36c | 455.37$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…83e3backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +234.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…aa26backed No | 4c | 395.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 11c | 388.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 3c | 380.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…3581backed No | 4c | 374.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 78c | 360.1$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 72c | 339.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked No | 78c | 334$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Yes | 43c | 309.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 76c | 308$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 3c | 306.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed No | 33c | 302.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 79c | 300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…b0a5backed No | 4c | 299.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 6c | 282.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 37c | 257.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…3da9backed No | 19c | 257.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 6c | 254.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a63abacked No | 8c | 253.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 18c | 250$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…cc4cbacked Yes | 25c | 243.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6918backed No | 7c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 48c | 237.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 29c | 236.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 78c | 235.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 17c | 230.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 44c | 229.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…737dbacked Yes | 32c | 229.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…ca64backed Yes | 72c | 224.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 60c | 219.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…0f69backed Yes | 46c | 216.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 23c | 202.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…203abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed No | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…9230backed Yes | 50c | 199.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 24c | 194.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 6c | 188.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…5148backed Yes | 26c | 177.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…4b7abacked No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Yes | 31c | 160.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 9c | 159.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…45e5backed Yes | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 72c | 146.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 27c | 146$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 77c | 144.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…f6d6backed Yes | 71c | 140.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed Yes | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…0b30backed No | 79c | 126.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…7b34backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…af06backed No | 80c | 124.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 122.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes | 18c | 110.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…eb6dbacked Yes | 53c | 107.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 28c | 101.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…cf07backed Yes | 19c | 100.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…0eaebacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no CEO be announced in 2025?this page
- Will David Sacks be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Grok be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Gwynne Shotwell be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Jack Dorsey be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will John Legere be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will John Nitti be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Keith Coleman be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Marissa Mayer be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Sriram Krishnan be the next CEO of X?No won
- Will Susan Wojcicki be the next CEO of X?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.