Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f77c988f0d59c586025889f673665be989e11a428a11f3e53299651c3d2c0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 40c | 26,492$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,931.54 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 41c | 24,007$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,090.55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 62c | 14,876$9,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,224.92 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 42c | 10,750$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,279.32 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 46c | 9,889$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.43 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 41c | 9,117$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 3c | 5,828$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 63c | 5,814$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.75 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 41c | 5,810$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.56 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 45c | 5,418$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 9c | 4,379$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 40c | 3,278$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.66 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked Yes | 40c | 3,104$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 35c | 3,059$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.91 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 44c | 3,057$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.14 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 2,796$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.54 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,270$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 41c | 1,690$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 37c | 1,623$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 16c | 1,604$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 38c | 1,402$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.63 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 45c | 1,273$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.56 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 56c | 922.36$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 911.64$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.35 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 874$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed No | 74c | 865.67$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.73 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3962…7c83backed Yes | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…8250backed No | 64c | 773.44$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 750$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 28c | 710.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.77 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes | 49c | 541.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 541.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.65 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 43c | 524.35$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 40c | 509.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 490.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 62c | 483.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 314.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 30c | 299.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…0fecbacked Yes | 42c | 253.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 46c | 248.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 25c | 241.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 54c | 228.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…795fbacked Yes | 48c | 225.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…aa17backed Yes | 33c | 210.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…3167backed No | 53c | 190.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…49a9backed Yes | 48c | 183.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 61c | 178.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…50abbacked No | 54c | 176.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faf…3b96backed No | 54c | 150.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…5681backed Yes | 48c | 137.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 36c | 132.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 39c | 129$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 121.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…837ebacked Yes | 43c | 114.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 109.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…10e5backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…d5e1backed No | 59c | 91.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 55c | 89.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 57c | 87.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…ea54backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…6e33backed Yes | 45c | 81.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…79dcbacked No | 59c | 80.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 48c | 73.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…c439backed No | 59c | 65.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…373cbacked Yes | 42c | 59.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…9c5bbacked Yes | 49c | 56.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…8f82backed Yes | 44c | 55.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 43c | 51.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…c8aabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b39…295abacked No | 54c | 46.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 29c | 45.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…0fdebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…a65bbacked No | 57c | 45.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 32c | 38.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…c4e8backed Yes | 41c | 37.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…40c4backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…4a36backed Yes | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…6df9backed No | 56c | 35.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…042ebacked Yes | 46c | 34.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…9251backed No | 54c | 34.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…ac66backed Yes | 48c | 34.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.