Middle East · resolved market
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26723f4cba9bc3c15970dcc88a07e7f60ecb689e47375ef929ec99960043d006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 22c | 24,497$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.39 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…3b43backed Yes | 17c | 14,978$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 15c | 10,209$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.6 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 9c | 7,000$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.33 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 19c | 5,494$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.4 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 24c | 5,171$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,670$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.91 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 4,634$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 76c | 3,799$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.49 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…9689backed Yes | 9c | 3,022$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 80c | 2,475$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…aa35backed Yes | 13c | 2,311$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,310$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…a970backed Yes | 27c | 2,261$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 16c | 2,092$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 11c | 1,954$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 1,739$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 9c | 1,643$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 80c | 1,512$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 1,354$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 28c | 1,338$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…a4dfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,074$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,039$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,010$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 70c | 999.91$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 911.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 24c | 834.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 11c | 730.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 18c | 705.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 9c | 700$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…fdddbacked No | 79c | 629.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…dc59backed Yes | 11c | 618.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 593.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 13c | 571.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 562.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 16c | 550.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…faeabacked Yes | 33c | 547.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 18c | 537.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…6ef0backed Yes | 10c | 533.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 18c | 516.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 8c | 475.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…293fbacked Yes | 19c | 450.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 439.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…cf1cbacked Yes | 22c | 407.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 61c | 405.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 8c | 362.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 8c | 358$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 15c | 322.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…ed65backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 79c | 278.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 70c | 250$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…4c1fbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…6254backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 16c | 187.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 76c | 182.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Yes | 11c | 170.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca5…6785backed Yes | 7c | 163.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e53…63e9backed Yes | 31c | 159.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed Yes | 14c | 157.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 22c | 151.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…8180backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 24c | 143.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 78c | 128.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed No | 78c | 127.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…1ca2backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 17c | 110.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…0f43backed No | 74c | 108.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 77c | 102.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…c281backed Yes | 24c | 102.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…03ebbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…93fdbacked Yes | 19c | 93.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…4f04backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…6422backed Yes | 19c | 80.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 33cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.