Music · resolved market
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ac32e18929185f5bd0dc00e70337571f546e64ae5cd16dceb6026ac2679c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e8…d139backed No | 64c | 58,644$37,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,532.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…2b38backed Yes | 36c | 58,644$21,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,532.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…62b4backed Yes | 39c | 28,083$10,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,130.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…1facbacked No | 61c | 28,083$17,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,130.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…c50cbacked Yes | 42c | 28,011$11,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,246.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…19d4backed No | 58c | 28,011$16,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,246.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…4ae3backed No | 61c | 27,827$16,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,974.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…1f5cbacked Yes | 39c | 27,827$10,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,974.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 78c | 11,203$8,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.86 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…ac4cbacked No | 0c | 9,829$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 6,695$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 40c | 5,062$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 48c | 4,997$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 1c | 4,460$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…dad9backed No | 51c | 3,498$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 66c | 3,265$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 2,981$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.23 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 62c | 2,695$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 2,400$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.75 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 40c | 2,044$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed No | 62c | 1,997$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 38c | 1,714$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…39c6backed No | 54c | 1,604$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 62c | 1,528$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 50c | 1,393$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 56c | 1,274$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 29c | 1,231$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 59c | 1,206$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 40c | 1,178$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.73 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 40c | 1,154$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Yes | 37c | 1,124$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…bb11backed Yes | 39c | 987.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 63c | 920.38$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 60c | 909.86$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 15c | 874$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 64c | 860.31$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 31c | 679.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 61c | 665.39$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 50c | 601.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 66c | 574$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…450cbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 54c | 494.45$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 31c | 472$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 43c | 433.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 63c | 419.05$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 57c | 416.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 404.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…aa00backed No | 63c | 399.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 390.79$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…c1d6backed No | 65c | 362.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 47c | 352.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…0c6cbacked Yes | 44c | 333.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…d636backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 56c | 300.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed Yes | 35c | 256$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…9f0ebacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…3797backed No | 58c | 207.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 55c | 204.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.39per pick | 40cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 36c | 199.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 57c | 185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 53c | 180$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…cb1abacked No | 56c | 178.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 35c | 168.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 56c | 162.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…e5aebacked Yes | 38c | 161.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c1…768dbacked No | 63c | 157.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 46c | 146.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…0860backed No | 59c | 132.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 59c | 132.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…9436backed Yes | 39c | 128.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…e21cbacked No | 64c | 125.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 36c | 120.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 58c | 118.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +147%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…8192backed No | 52c | 111.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 30c | 111$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…2f63backed No | 63c | 110.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 58c | 109.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…c1bfbacked Yes | 44c | 108.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked No | 56c | 101.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fc9fbacked No | 64c | 100.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…06d9backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…accebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…1b32backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 29c | 98.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…0f94backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…e281backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 56c | 95.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…a3babacked No | 53c | 95.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…0921backed No | 56c | 91.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.