Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96fdf9dd86147a9f1709a20feb7d5119b4f846ca0878d88da6236046391aefd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 51c | 20,096$10,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,758.61 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 33c | 19,231$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,979.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 55c | 18,387$10,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,102.28 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 38c | 14,389$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.92 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 44c | 14,314$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.61 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 50c | 13,257$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 13,000$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.18 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 53c | 12,548$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.59 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 61c | 10,770$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.17 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 46c | 10,631$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 72c | 10,366$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 44c | 10,259$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 63c | 9,130$5,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.29 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 8,558$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.55 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…33f8backed Yes | 49c | 8,336$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 42c | 8,211$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.43 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 39c | 7,147$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 49c | 7,040$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.8 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 58c | 6,988$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.37 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2971backed Yes | 5c | 6,672$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 26c | 6,218$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 57c | 5,764$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 44c | 5,451$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.74 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Yes | 50c | 5,384$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 58c | 5,254$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 35c | 5,179$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.5 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 40c | 5,102$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.23 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 21c | 4,980$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 7c | 4,454$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 34c | 4,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.52 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 4,155$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.2 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…287cbacked Yes | 72c | 4,150$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 37c | 4,012$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 56c | 3,715$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 43c | 3,711$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.06 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…d86dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,244$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.8 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +11%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 40c | 2,875$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.24 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 43c | 2,546$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.67 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 47c | 2,525$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.11 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 72c | 2,269$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.88 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 48c | 2,156$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.47 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 63c | 1,977$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.43 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 40c | 1,860$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked No | 60c | 1,839$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 35c | 1,819$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.03 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…3b09backed Yes | 60c | 1,817$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…02bdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,805$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked No | 74c | 1,745$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed No | 37c | 1,730$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.07 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,708$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 42c | 1,685$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.25 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 59c | 1,646$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 56c | 1,640$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.45 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 35c | 1,616$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.4 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…2928backed Yes | 71c | 1,533$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 65c | 1,528$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 39c | 1,479$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.47 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 58c | 1,450$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 28c | 1,447$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.36 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…c600backed Yes | 69c | 1,441$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 40c | 1,323$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c0…a91fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,282$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…1290backed Yes | 66c | 1,258$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 74c | 1,254$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.48 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…471fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,202$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 74c | 1,202$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 40c | 1,157$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…a035backed No | 73c | 1,149$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 1,137$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…8163backed Yes | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,110$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,084$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 47c | 1,065$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.62 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…6919backed Yes | 67c | 1,033$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…1761backed Yes | 61c | 1,011$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…f2cdbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked No | 64c | 954$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 55c | 941.53$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…7c86backed Yes | 43c | 930.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 64c | 926.09$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…bac0backed No | 27c | 920.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 58c | 912.29$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…b9bebacked Yes | 60c | 898.32$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 52c | 858.2$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…4266backed Yes | 59c | 839.37$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…deedbacked Yes | 67c | 830.87$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 20c | 825.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.46 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 44c | 818.68$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.67 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 77c | 816.67$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.83 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 53c | 810.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 75c | 800.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 43c | 798.72$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.91 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed No | 52c | 789.34$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 63c | 787.96$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.68 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 59c | 780$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 46c | 776.21$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.21 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8572…63ccbacked Yes | 64c | 772.62$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.