Middle East · resolved market
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd1c7fd7cab7dc365e75247419e3375690b06532f7019ffc6d0d2e3540244cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,425$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.34 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 2,609$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 23c | 2,508$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 35c | 2,008$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,572$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,408$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 9c | 1,267$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,256$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…8efcbacked No | 67c | 1,238$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 14c | 1,133$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,096$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.31 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 23c | 1,077$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…c328backed Yes | 8c | 1,040$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 10c | 988.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 15c | 721.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked No | 77c | 719.55$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 694.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked Yes | 37c | 634.06$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 17c | 577.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…33eabacked Yes | 21c | 547.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 534.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes | 41c | 518.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 12c | 467.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 445.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 70c | 424.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 21c | 422.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 19c | 419.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 72c | 419.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e065backed Yes | 5c | 399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 371.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 5c | 353.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 6c | 341$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 78c | 331.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 80c | 312.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 25c | 305.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 22c | 302.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e0…e507backed Yes | 9c | 291.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 5c | 279$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed No | 68c | 257.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 71c | 249$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 30c | 241.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed No | 78c | 241$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 21c | 240.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…b879backed Yes | 14c | 230$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 6c | 229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 74c | 229$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed Yes | 47c | 225.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 20c | 214.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed Yes | 5c | 209$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 10c | 190.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 171.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 30c | 167.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 72c | 158.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 37c | 142.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 75c | 134.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…fab0backed No | 76c | 131.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…156bbacked Yes | 46c | 122.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 24c | 118.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 73c | 106.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…a839backed Yes | 28c | 104.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 25c | 104.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…3196backed Yes | 36c | 103.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 16c | 101.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc0…5a2ebacked Yes | 10c | 100.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 22c | 100.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…8001backed No | 74c | 100.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +820.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 72c | 99.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 75c | 87.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 18c | 82.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…c3b2backed Yes | 50c | 80.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…d536backed Yes | 25c | 78.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…f8e7backed Yes | 28c | 71.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 76c | 66.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 26c | 65.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…4455backed Yes | 15c | 65.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 20c | 58.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…950dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 74c | 51.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 30c | 42.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 68c | 41.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…bf67backed No | 77c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed No | 78c | 34.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…49cfbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…171dbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.