F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379faa7a873302928ca4ee3d0e9bf6f31f4d0abe594bbf82c3b1d2537008cbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 72c | 4,455$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.77 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…6f10backed Yes | 26c | 4,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,524$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…23dfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,190$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…bfa5backed Yes | 43c | 2,981$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,439$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed No | 77c | 2,261$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3843backed Yes | 46c | 2,154$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…2e62backed Yes | 12c | 1,761$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed No | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Yes | 17c | 1,448$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed No | 75c | 1,416$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…3a9abacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 35c | 1,191$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…003abacked Yes | 8c | 1,097$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,096$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…deafbacked Yes | 36c | 1,078$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…499ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,022$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 32c | 903.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 61c | 903.58$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…1af8backed Yes | 39c | 819.41$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…3609backed Yes | 34c | 795.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 64c | 787.06$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…3326backed Yes | 3c | 786$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…2fadbacked Yes | 2c | 771.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…4033backed No | 56c | 755.04$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…1cd7backed Yes | 33c | 738.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…196dbacked No | 73c | 688.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 43c | 660.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 68c | 619.06$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed Yes | 35c | 576.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…3d76backed Yes | 4c | 553$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…eeafbacked Yes | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 30c | 524.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…96d3backed Yes | 3c | 500.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 74c | 475$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…549fbacked No | 63c | 473.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 58c | 436.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…0ffebacked Yes | 2c | 430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…8497backed Yes | 2c | 430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 59c | 414.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 62c | 410.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 19c | 399.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…607cbacked Yes | 5c | 388.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 40c | 380.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…c779backed Yes | 39c | 363$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 36c | 360.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 28c | 352$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…331bbacked Yes | 6c | 343.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…f052backed Yes | 14c | 331.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…ca8bbacked No | 65c | 329.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…1d92backed No | 62c | 325.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed Yes | 8c | 322.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…e1febacked Yes | 38c | 322.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 73c | 314.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…f224backed Yes | 52c | 287$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 38c | 276.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 55c | 266.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed No | 60c | 265.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…edb9backed No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 44c | 259.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…7fc6backed Yes | 40c | 253.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed No | 60c | 249.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 21c | 248.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 40c | 243.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…06e6backed Yes | 7c | 239.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…7a88backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed Yes | 45c | 219.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…fb82backed Yes | 8c | 217.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes | 48c | 207.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…08c5backed Yes | 49c | 202.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b9…5954backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 44c | 197.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 24c | 196.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…8fdebacked No | 74c | 193.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 58c | 187.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…eec3backed Yes | 41c | 182.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…718abacked Yes | 43c | 168.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5c…f07abacked Yes | 61c | 162.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…f8ddbacked Yes | 13c | 158.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 66c | 156.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…56d3backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…55f8backed Yes | 44c | 149.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 73c | 149.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 77c | 148$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…0f32backed No | 75c | 146.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cb…cba5backed Yes | 49c | 141.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 131.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…2acbbacked No | 76c | 131.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed No | 57c | 129.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c14ebacked Yes | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…de5fbacked Yes | 48c | 124.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.