Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6105b6d535692d906115083d2ab49a185c641776cf0872186cce37e9d274cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 36c | 4,068$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.72 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 55c | 3,451$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.81 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,669$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 69c | 2,500$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked No | 42c | 2,159$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.66 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 44c | 2,110$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 10c | 2,069$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 69c | 1,882$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.39 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 32c | 1,871$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 23c | 1,783$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.54 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 20c | 1,728$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 36c | 1,654$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.54 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…287cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,577$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed No | 39c | 1,527$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 49c | 1,429$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 80c | 1,405$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 57c | 1,360$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 53c | 1,314$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 62c | 1,293$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.21 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 1,247$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 42c | 1,180$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 27c | 1,147$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.3 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…271abacked Yes | 60c | 1,091$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,077$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 53c | 941.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 56c | 888.21$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.6 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Yes | 58c | 865.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…f4efbacked Yes | 34c | 815.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 37c | 710.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 22c | 700$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…0edcbacked Yes | 58c | 689.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 45c | 665.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 33c | 662.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 56c | 599.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 59c | 598.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 31c | 592.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 16c | 554$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…d9f9backed Yes | 73c | 529.73$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 19c | 525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 20c | 499.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 38c | 494.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 41c | 485.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.47 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…a517backed No | 66c | 484.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked No | 20c | 441.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…267dbacked No | 24c | 420.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 44c | 410$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…41edbacked Yes | 74c | 405.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 391.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…e1a0backed Yes | 55c | 364.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…e2a9backed Yes | 65c | 357.13$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 48c | 350$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 64c | 333$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 47c | 332$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 16c | 311.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 37c | 303.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…b35cbacked No | 20c | 302.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 71c | 285.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…af0dbacked Yes | 50c | 272.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 38c | 265.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 261.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked No | 19c | 261.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…cf1fbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 53c | 250$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 34c | 250$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…df3fbacked No | 40c | 248.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 25c | 248.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 41c | 241.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…3267backed No | 18c | 240.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed No | 53c | 233.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…033cbacked No | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 175.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…1546backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…5a96backed No | 65c | 161$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…0646backed No | 18c | 152.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…413abacked No | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 148$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…4c19backed Yes | 63c | 144.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 33c | 140.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 79c | 139.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 17c | 138.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…971bbacked No | 45c | 133.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 128.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.