Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618d591da9f0b8d217db5531604d70e48184e9c5497a53cf8bb3280352ecf499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 47c | 27,711$13,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,098.46 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 52c | 15,466$8,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,066.83 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 49c | 12,863$6,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,291.32 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 51c | 9,599$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.61 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 54c | 8,936$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.38 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,983$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 49c | 7,969$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.66 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 6,511$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.98 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 50c | 5,639$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.87 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 47c | 5,587$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 51c | 5,144$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 52c | 4,310$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.48 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 47c | 4,212$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed No | 50c | 4,174$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 51c | 3,659$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,150$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 46c | 2,863$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 42c | 2,250$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.43 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 1,856$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.46 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 48c | 1,560$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 48c | 1,553$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 53c | 1,426$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 51c | 917.75$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…aa22backed No | 76c | 780.25$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 48c | 700$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 52c | 694$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…ac66backed Yes | 3c | 620.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…8819backed Yes | 54c | 578.52$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 52c | 560$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…15b2backed Yes | 54c | 551.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed Yes | 54c | 480$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…55f5backed Yes | 54c | 475.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 46c | 467.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…9e7cbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 39c | 361.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 355$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 351.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 51c | 302.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 45c | 289.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…aa17backed Yes | 55c | 283.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 50c | 275.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 46c | 247.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 50c | 235$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 48c | 235$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…bc00backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 47c | 210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 43c | 198.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…0fecbacked Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 145.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 55c | 143$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…3ec6backed Yes | 47c | 135.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 60c | 128.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 122.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 48c | 103.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…07acbacked No | 55c | 98.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…191ebacked No | 56c | 90.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…48f1backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2a…afe4backed Yes | 47c | 88.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…5544backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 54c | 55.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 47c | 55.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…6dc9backed Yes | 56c | 52.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…79ecbacked Yes | 47c | 51.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…4ea6backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…71f4backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…7387backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…22adbacked No | 52c | 45.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…f452backed No | 56c | 42.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…78c1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…f6bdbacked Yes | 51c | 39.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…b272backed Yes | 50c | 39.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…a407backed No | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 53c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b5…93abbacked No | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…3a8bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in August?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.