Music · resolved market
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4d057661ceff7e5dbcad9b765080ff04a84c308e6b273e80a3088ae5950950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 32c | 27,332$8,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,629.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 16c | 26,011$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 64c | 24,366$15,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,835.75 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 29c | 22,414$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,395.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 60c | 15,645$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…c35ebacked Yes | 8c | 10,348$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 67c | 9,600$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Yes | 50c | 8,325$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…a140backed Yes | 4c | 7,101$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 44c | 6,406$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 0c | 5,105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 68c | 4,705$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,235$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 3,834$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 69c | 3,820$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 46c | 3,328$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked No | 50c | 3,270$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 70c | 2,857$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 78c | 2,690$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Yes | 31c | 2,503$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 73c | 2,309$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 7c | 2,260$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 20c | 2,003$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…2f2abacked Yes | 66c | 1,722$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…b3b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,662$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 52c | 1,566$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked No | 65c | 1,565$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…ed8fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,124$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…b9bebacked Yes | 36c | 1,070$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b2…da04backed Yes | 8c | 1,023$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 16c | 1,022$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 69c | 1,010$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5df…7306backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Yes | 66c | 977.27$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…5b19backed Yes | 35c | 877.74$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 42c | 751.86$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 34c | 748$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 77c | 726.68$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…a5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 719.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 78c | 711$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aeb…5671backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 59c | 698.1$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 51c | 650$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 32c | 622.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 39c | 544.39$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 65c | 540.5$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…18e0backed Yes | 4c | 517.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 503.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6020backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed No | 62c | 464$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Yes | 4c | 463.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 67c | 462.49$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked Yes | 75c | 399.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 75c | 387$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3ec2backed Yes | 16c | 329.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…0b92backed Yes | 15c | 325.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 74c | 325.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes | 32c | 325$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 63c | 303.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 51c | 295$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 61c | 265$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 39c | 259.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 16c | 256$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…0fa3backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…0c39backed Yes | 21c | 217.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…f896backed Yes | 45c | 193.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…1792backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a864backed No | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…ad2cbacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…cf38backed No | 75c | 133.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…ec6cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…ae69backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 63c | 110.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes | 23c | 104.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…fb21backed No | 71c | 101.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 30c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…ec34backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…a3edbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…cd30backed Yes | 37c | 93.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…24f8backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 31c | 63.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6fd8backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?this page
- Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?Yes won
- Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?No won
- Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.