Middle East · resolved market
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e574f6a0a162fcf53cc33163099ca24a872866f9d86e8ff047cb83850d3c702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee3…4ca0backed No | 1c | 5,011$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 33c | 3,605$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…2e31backed No | 2c | 3,319$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…a1b6backed No | 77c | 2,657$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…f8c9backed No | 67c | 2,277$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 47c | 1,700$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.47 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed No | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,260$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.95 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…744cbacked No | 1c | 1,123$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.05 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…3f0dbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 15c | 991.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.66 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 17c | 958.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 901.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.16 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 20c | 867.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 37c | 804.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4424backed No | 1c | 731.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 701.87$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.04 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 61c | 695.91$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.74 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 34c | 644.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.56 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…bc21backed Yes | 28c | 624.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 36c | 618.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.62 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked No | 61c | 566.44$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 73c | 552.66$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…d1bdbacked No | 73c | 506.47$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 44c | 499.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…2fd7backed No | 49c | 495.35$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 37c | 473.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 39c | 450$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 60c | 433.81$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…cf16backed No | 28c | 428.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 63c | 397.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 30c | 364.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 24c | 356.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.54 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…24dabacked Yes | 56c | 356.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 23c | 339.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 67c | 322.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 32c | 314.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 16c | 310$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…5ee2backed Yes | 58c | 304.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 77c | 298.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…aa14backed No | 77c | 284.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…2fc3backed Yes | 19c | 270.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…56dbbacked Yes | 23c | 252.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 45c | 247.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…9502backed No | 6c | 244.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…da0bbacked Yes | 8c | 244.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 44c | 226.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed No | 12c | 220.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +13.6wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 15c | 208.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…0214backed Yes | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed No | 71c | 204.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…0f7cbacked Yes | 41c | 184.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…f2ffbacked Yes | 21c | 180.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…01c7backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…ab3fbacked No | 13c | 173.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 41c | 164.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…4c90backed Yes | 34c | 161.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 160.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…eb59backed No | 61c | 156.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 27c | 154.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 33c | 151.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed No | 72c | 150.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…ee64backed No | 58c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed Yes | 27c | 147.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 17c | 141.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 75c | 135.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 65c | 134.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…f4f1backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked Yes | 75c | 121.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…1065backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 71c | 117.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…5399backed Yes | 37c | 109.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 47c | 105.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 48c | 104.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 78c | 103.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…5e6ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…e06abacked Yes | 21c | 96.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…0af1backed No | 72c | 89.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 13c | 83.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…5b50backed Yes | 55c | 75.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…ebc9backed No | 63c | 73.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…feabbacked No | 75c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 77c | 58.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 27c | 57.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…560dbacked Yes | 36c | 56.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.