Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Tour Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79919a6d8c123d7ec9717d1bbc585561fe6cf6955d0a9e5a0b2ccfe743b9075e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 35c | 23,520$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.63 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…2b59backed Yes | 16c | 21,625$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 15c | 19,335$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.21 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 15,332$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 65c | 13,634$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,306$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 80c | 6,118$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 8c | 2,873$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 13c | 2,535$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 34c | 2,487$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 14c | 1,800$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 1,400$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 13c | 836.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 63c | 661.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 16c | 606.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1185…0486backed Yes | 18c | 566.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 66c | 524.6$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 25c | 400.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 394.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 75c | 385.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 42c | 375$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 65c | 370$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 368$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 46c | 345.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…5771backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Yes | 15c | 300.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 11c | 271.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 37c | 268.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…aa2abacked Yes | 37c | 251.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…b124backed Yes | 22c | 228.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467f…4a89backed Yes | 13c | 155.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 8c | 129.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…b37dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…c3ccbacked Yes | 15c | 107.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 104.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 32c | 99.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 64c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 63c | 86.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 64c | 80.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff3f…ccbebacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 67c | 78.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…9265backed No | 65c | 39.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…35d0backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 36.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb64…a9e8backed Yes | 35c | 30.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…2657backed No | 65c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 55c | 26.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 57c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 67c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 57c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Tour Championship?this page
- Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.